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Pine Ridge, South Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Pine Ridge SD
National Weather Service Forecast for: Pine Ridge SD
Issued by: National Weather Service Rapid City, SD
Updated: 1:29 pm MDT Jul 11, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Breezy, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Chance
Showers and
Breezy
Tonight

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and midnight.  Mostly cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 49. North wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
Showers then
Mostly Clear
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 85. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunny

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Mostly Clear

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 93. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Partly Cloudy

Monday

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 97. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Mostly
Sunny and
Breezy
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Tuesday

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Slight Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
Hi 77 °F Lo 49 °F Hi 85 °F Lo 60 °F Hi 93 °F Lo 64 °F Hi 97 °F Lo 62 °F Hi 83 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

This Afternoon
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Breezy, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tonight
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 49. North wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 85. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 93. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 97. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Tuesday
 
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Tuesday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Wednesday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Thursday
 
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
Thursday Night
 
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Friday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Pine Ridge SD.

Weather Forecast Discussion
872
FXUS63 KUNR 112015
AFDUNR

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
215 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Dry this weekend with temperatures climbing back into the 90s

-Daily chances of afternoon thunderstorms return to the forecast
 next week

-Chance of strong to severe thunderstorms possible Tuesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...(This Evening Through Next Friday) Issued at 115 PM
MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Current analysis shows a broad upper trough continuing to
influence much of the region, maintaining cooler than normal
average temperatures and scattered to widespread showers with
embedded thunderstorms across much of western South Dakota and
northeastern Wyoming. A pattern shift is expected heading into the
weekend as a strong upper ridge builds over the central CONUS,
allowing for a period of hot and dry conditions. This ridge will
begin to break down early next week, allowing daily thunderstorm
chances to return, with a risk of more organized storms by
Tuesday.

Cloud cover and lingering showers are progged to continue through
today as the upper trough slowly exits the region. Highs will
remain below seasonal norms, generally in the 60s and low 70s
across the plains, with cooler readings in the Black Hills. Patchy
drizzle and light rain will taper off by the evening as subsidence
increases behind the departing wave. The gusty northwest winds
will also decrease heading into the evening hours.

By Saturday, a pronounced upper-level ridge begins to build across
the central and northern Plains. This will result in a sharp
warming trend, with highs climbing into the upper 80s to mid 90s
across much of the forecast area. Sunday will be the hottest day
of the period, with widespread highs in the mid to upper 90s and
some triple-digit readings possible across the southern plains.
The ridge will begin to flatten late Sunday into Monday as
shortwave energy approaches from the Pacific Northwest. Starting
Monday, daily chances for afternoon and evening thunderstorms will
return, particularly across the Black hills and adjacent plains.
Moisture advection and increasing instability will support
convective development, though coverage may remain isolated early
in the week.

Tuesday will see the strongest shortwave trough passage as it
exits the northern Rockies and enters the northern Plains. This
system will bring enhanced shear and with a modest moist influx at
the surface instability increase to around 1500 J/kg Tuesday
afternoon. Organized strong to potentially severe thunderstorms
maybe possible across western South Dakota. Confidence in timing
and placement will improve by the end of the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Saturday)
Issued At 1142 AM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Generally VFR conditions are expected. The exception would be
MVFR conditions in scattered showers/storms, which will be
possible through the afternoon. Gusty winds are expected to
diminish late afternoon into the evening.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...Woodward
AVIATION...Dye
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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