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Pine Ridge, South Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Pine Ridge SD
National Weather Service Forecast for: Pine Ridge SD
Issued by: National Weather Service Rapid City, SD
Updated: 10:09 am MDT Aug 1, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Breezy, with a south wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Slight Chance
T-storms and
Breezy
Tonight

Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Chance
T-storms and
Breezy then
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 91. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunny

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then a slight chance of showers.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
T-storms

Sunday

Sunday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight.
Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Clear
Monday

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 89. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 93.
Sunny

Hi 81 °F Lo 60 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 59 °F Hi 83 °F Lo 58 °F Hi 89 °F Lo 63 °F Hi 93 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

This Afternoon
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Breezy, with a south wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tonight
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 91. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 89. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Monday Night
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Tuesday Night
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Thursday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 93.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Pine Ridge SD.

Weather Forecast Discussion
378
FXUS63 KUNR 011802
AFDUNR

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1202 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Unsettled conditions through the weekend

-Isolated strong to severe storms possible at times, including
 today across most of the area

-Areas of smoke from distance wildfires may impact the region at
 times

-Warmer and drier next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...(Today Through Thursday)
Issued at 103 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

Monsoon moisture filled shortwave ridge will slowly advect across
the region next couple of days, supporting near daily chances for
showers and storms. Pos theta-e adv ongoing aloft, supporting
elevated TS from NW through scentral SD this morning. Small hail
and gusty winds will be the main threat from these early morning
storms as the arc of adv shifts northeast through morning. Things
will dry out this afternoon most places with post wave subsidence.
However, the far eastern FA may see continued convention from pos
theta-e adv, with the potential for storms to become sfc based as
some hires models suggest, increasing the potential for strong to
severe storms if they do. The next round of lift and TS chances
will arrive this evening as another impulse traverses the region.
Appreciable ML CAPE of 1500-2500 J/KG will be in place to support
pulse strong/severe storms. Deep layer bulk shear is not the
great, generally around 30 knots. Hence, storms will be outflow
driven. Locally heavy rain will also be possible with expected
slow storm motions and ample deep layer moisture in place.
Seasonally cool temperatures will persist with highs generally in
the 70s once again today, warmest in far west on the other side of
the sudo warm front. Unsettled westerly flow will continue this
weekend with a slow warming trend. Expect continued chances for
showers and storms as a few stronger waves moves through the flow.
However, the timing and strength of these waves will determine
the best period of rain chances as well as the potential for
severe weather, both of which confidence remains low. Coverage of
showers are expected to be scattered at best, typical for early
August in the region. Digging western CONUS trough early next week
will support warmer temps over the Northern Plains and a drying
trend, with the bulk of TS coverage expected to be more isolated.
In addition, western wild fire smoke will traverse the region at
times, offering potential reduced visibility if the smoke makes it
to the sfc.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Saturday)
Issued At 1200 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025

Leftover local MVFR conditions will become VFR early this
afternoon. Isolated/scattered showers/thunderstorms will develop
this afternoon over northwestern SD and over northeastern
WY/southwestern SD tonight. Any storm will have local IFR
conditions as well as hail and gusty erratic winds. Have targeted
02/01-03z for the KRAP/KGCC for PROB30 TS given latest model
consensus. Areas MVFR/IFR CIGS may develop over northwestern SD
toward the end of the period.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...JC
AVIATION...Helgeson
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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